Bangladesh outlines $1.85b Just Transition roadmap ahead of COP31

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With COP31 approaching, Bangladesh has turned broad climate commitments into a costed implementation framework focused on workers, green jobs, skills and social protection.

Bangladesh has outlined a $1.85 billion investment roadmap aimed at ensuring that the country’s transition towards a low-carbon economy protects workers, livelihoods and communities while supporting greener economic growth.

The roadmap, presented at a High-Level National Dialogue on “Advancing Just Transition in Bangladesh” in Dhaka on Thursday, sets out 69 concrete activities across six sectors: energy, transport, construction, agriculture, waste, and industrial processes and product use.

Each activity identifies a responsible institution, indicative budget, timeframe and measurable success indicator, providing ministries and other stakeholders with a concrete pipeline for moving Bangladesh’s Just Transition commitments from policy to implementation.

The dialogue was organised by the Department of Environment under the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, with technical support from the International Labour Organization and the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling. The initiative is funded by Sweden through the ILO-Sida Global Partnership.

Political push ahead of COP31

State Minister for Environment, Forest and Climate Change Shaikh Faridul Islam, who attended the inauguration as chief guest, called for greater political visibility and momentum for Just Transition as a national priority ahead of COP31.

He highlighted progress on the Just Transition chapter of the NDC Implementation Plan and reaffirmed the importance of inter-ministerial cooperation, tripartite engagement and meaningful youth participation in ensuring an inclusive transition.

Bangladesh outlines $1.85b Just Transition roadmap ahead of COP31
Additional Secretary of the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change Mohammad Navid Saffiullah speaks at the High Level National Dialogue on “Advancing Just Transition in Bangladesh” in Dhaka on Thursday. Photo: Collected

Mohammad Navid Saffiullah, Additional Secretary of the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, stressed that Bangladesh’s transition must protect people as the economy moves towards lower emissions.

“Bangladesh’s transition towards a low-carbon economy must be a just transition,” Saffiullah said, emphasising that workers, climate-vulnerable communities and affected sectors must be protected while creating decent green jobs, expanding social protection and supporting sustainable economic growth.

He also stressed the need for policy coherence, evidence-based planning, sustainable financing, strong monitoring and coordinated action across sectors to turn NDC 3.0 commitments into results.

From 258 commitments to 69 activities

The implementation framework emerged from a cross-mapping of 14 national policy documents, including NDC 3.0, the National Adaptation Plan, Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100, the Eighth Five-Year Plan and Perspective Plan 2041.

The exercise identified 258 aligned commitments, which were distilled into 33 priority commitments and translated into 69 activities under the Just Transition chapter.

The process involved six rounds of consultation between July and September, including a technical webinar, inter-ministerial tripartite sessions, sector-specific and thematic consultations, and two validation webinars.

Nearly 200 representatives from government ministries, employers, workers, the private sector, civil society, youth and academia took part in the consultations.

Bangladesh’s NDC 3.0, adopted in 2025, includes a dedicated Just Transition chapter linking climate action with decent work, social protection, skills development, enterprise support and inclusive economic transformation.

The $1.85 billion investment envelope

The proposed investment envelope totals $1.85 billion, but the figure does not represent a direct government budget allocation of the entire amount.

Around $250.6 million has been identified as direct costs for training, grants and institutional strengthening.

A much larger $1.5975 billion is expected to be mobilised through commercial finance and development finance institutions, including institutions such as IDCOL.

The distinction is important. Successful implementation will depend not only on public expenditure but also on Bangladesh’s ability to attract concessional finance, development finance and private investment for transition activities.

The total Just Transition investment envelope represents about 1.59 percent of the estimated overall cost of implementing NDC 3.0.

Organisers said the costed and appraisal-ready annex gives ministries a concrete pipeline when approaching climate finance windows and development partners.

With COP31 approaching, the framework could provide Bangladesh with a practical basis for presenting specific financing needs rather than broad calls for climate support.

Bangladesh outlines $1.85b Just Transition roadmap ahead of COP31
ILO Technical Officer for Just Transition Elisa Benistant Fremigacci presents the Just Transition chapter of Bangladesh’s NDC 3.0 implementation plan at a High Level National Dialogue in Dhaka on Thursday. Photo: Collected

Workers at the centre of transition

At the heart of the Just Transition agenda is a simple question: what happens to workers when the economy changes?

A factory may become cleaner. Its machinery may become more efficient. Productivity may rise. But a worker can still ask whether there will be a place for them in the new factory.

That question captures the central test of Just Transition.

Bangladesh’s framework seeks to address that challenge through skills development, reskilling, social protection, enterprise support and stronger worker participation.

The National Alliance for Just Transition Bangladesh represents workers across 17 sectors, while the Bangladesh Employers’ Federation provides a key employers’ voice.

Workers’ and employers’ organisations are expected to participate through institutionalised social dialogue, with workers’ organisations also playing a role in verifying whether training, protections and other measures reach workers on the ground.

The approach reflects the broader direction of NDC 3.0, which links decarbonisation with green skills, social protection, enterprise support and social dialogue.

Governance for delivery

The Department of Environment and the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change will have overall responsibility for the framework.

A national Just Transition taskforce chaired by the Ministry of Labour and Employment will provide a dedicated channel for workers’ and employers’ organisations.

The NDC Advisory Committee, established in 2022, will remain an important platform for inter-ministerial coordination, while ministries and agencies are expected to appoint Just Transition focal points.

At enterprise level, bipartite committees and sectoral collective bargaining can help carry the framework into workplaces.

Youth participation is also built into the architecture through registered youth organisations, giving young people an opportunity to engage in coordination and implementation.

The institutional structure is intended to ensure that climate, employment, labour and social protection policies move together rather than operate separately.

Bangladesh outlines $1.85b Just Transition roadmap ahead of COP31
ILO Just Transition Priority Action Programme Director Moustapha Kamal Gueye delivers his speech at the High Level National Dialogue on “Advancing Just Transition in Bangladesh” in Dhaka on Thursday. Photo: Collected

Financing the transition

Financing emerged as one of the central questions facing implementation.

A panel titled “Financing and Delivering Bangladesh’s Just Transition”, moderated by Max Tunon, Country Director of ILO Bangladesh, brought together representatives from Bangladesh Bank, the Centre for Policy Dialogue, the Bangladesh Employers’ Federation, the Ministry of Labour and Employment, and the National Coordination Committee for Workers’ Education.

The discussion focused on how Bangladesh can mobilise domestic resources, international climate finance and private capital while ensuring that investment delivers social and employment benefits alongside environmental outcomes.

The challenge is therefore not simply to find $1.85 billion.

It is to create the financial instruments, institutional capacity and accountability mechanisms needed to turn the proposed investment envelope into actual projects, skills, jobs and protection for affected workers.

From dialogue to delivery

The roadmap marks a shift from broad political commitments towards a more operational framework.

Its 69 activities identify who should act, what resources are required, when implementation should take place and how progress can be measured.

That clarity could help Bangladesh approach climate finance providers and development partners with specific, costed proposals.

The timing is significant.

With COP31 approaching, Bangladesh has an opportunity to present Just Transition not simply as a principle but as an implementation agenda backed by identified activities, financing needs and institutional responsibilities.

The government has signalled its intention to take a strong and constructive position at COP31. The immediate challenge will be to ensure that the momentum generated by the Dhaka dialogue continues after the meeting rooms close.

The real test of Just Transition will ultimately be measured not by the number of commitments on paper, but by whether a worker who loses a job because of technological or environmental change can access new skills, income support and a decent new livelihood.

For Bangladesh, the journey is now moving from ambition to implementation, and from dialogue to delivery.

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