A new Cornell University study warns that extreme drought under warmer, high-CO₂ conditions could quadruple peatland carbon loss, releasing 90–250 years of stored carbon within months. Once stable carbon sinks, peatlands may rapidly become sources, worsening global warming
Peatlands make up just 3% of the earth’s land surface but store more than 30% of the world’s soil carbon, preserving organic matter and sequestering its carbon for tens of thousands of years. A new study from Cornell University researchers sounds the alarm that extreme drought could quadruple peatland carbon loss.
In the study, published Oct. 23 in Science, researchers find that, under conditions that mimic a future climate (with warmer temperatures and elevated carbon dioxide), extreme drought dramatically increases the release of carbon in peatlands. This means that droughts in future climate conditions could turn a valuable carbon sink into a carbon source, erasing between 90 and 250 years of carbon stores in a matter of months.
“As temperatures increase, drought events become more frequent and severe, making peatlands more vulnerable than before,” said senior author Yiqi Luo. “We add new evidence to show that with peatlands, the stakes are high. We observed that these extreme drought events can wipe out hundreds of years of accumulated carbon, so this has a huge implication.”
This study is the first to examine how carbon loss is exacerbated as the planet warms and more carbon dioxide enters the atmosphere. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates extreme drought will become 1.7 to 7.2 times more likely in the near future. With that probability, Luo said the study’s results are another warning about the dire impacts of global warming and a call to pay more attention to peatlands, despite their small geographical footprint.
“It’s a huge reservoir of carbon compared to any other ecosystem,” he said. “We need to find a way to mitigate climate change and bend the warming curve.”
Luo and his team used data from a field experiment in a natural boreal spruce bog in northern Minnesota, which housed 10, 20-meter-wide, yurt-like test chambers. Inside the chambers, researchers were able to manipulate the temperatures, as well as the levels of carbon dioxide.
This study focused on peatland carbon loss during an extreme drought event in July and August of 2021, under 10 future climate change scenarios at the site. The researchers found that the lowered water table during drought took longer to recover at higher temperatures and elevated carbon dioxide levels, which led to more carbon release.
Luo expected that warmer temperatures would cause more carbon loss during drought, but the impact of elevated carbon dioxide – the fact that it also exacerbates carbon loss – was surprising. Increased levels of carbon dioxide in “uplands,” areas at higher elevation than peatland bogs or wetlands, can actually stimulate photosynthesis and improve plants’ water-use efficiency, partly mitigating the impacts of extreme drought.
“Previous studies indicated that elevated carbon dioxide can usually make extreme events less impactful, but our results indicate the opposite,” Luo said.
The work was done alongside researchers from Florida State University, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Georgia Institute of Technology, ETH Zurich, Northern Arizona University, the Australian National University, the University of Western Ontario and Duke University.
Funding for the study came from the National Science Foundation, USDA, the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation and the New York State Department of Agriculture and Markets.
